Probability-Based Early Warning for Seasonal Influenza in China: Model Development Study

Jinzhao Cui   ^{1 *} , MM ;   Ting Zhang   ^{1 *} , MD ;   Yifeng Shen   ^{2 *} , MM ;   Xiaoli Wang   ^{3 *} , MD ;   Liuyang Yang   ⁴ , MD ;   Xuefeng Huang   ¹ , MM ;   Qiang Huang   ¹ , MM ;   Yu Yang   ¹ , MM ;   Weizhong Yang   ¹ , Prof Dr Med ;   Zhongjie Li   ¹ , Prof Dr Med

¹ School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China

² Shanghai Pudong New Area Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Shanghai Pudong New Area Health Supervision Institute), Shanghai, China

³ Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China

⁴ School of Data Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, China

*these authors contributed equally