Forecasting the Requirement for Nonelective Hospital Beds in the National Health Service of the United Kingdom: Model Development Study

Kanan Shah   ¹ , BS ;   Akarsh Sharma   ² , MSc ;   Chris Moulton   ³ , MBChB, FRCEM, MRCGP, FRCA ;   Simon Swift   ^{4, 5} , MBBS, MRCS, MSc ;   Clifford Mann   ⁶ , MBBS ;   Simon Jones   ⁷ , PhD

¹ NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States

² Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States

³ The Royal Bolton Hospital, Bolton, United Kingdom

⁴ Methods Analytics, London, United Kingdom

⁵ University of Exeter Business School, Exeter, United Kingdom

⁶ Taunton & Somerset NHS Foundation trust, Taunton, United Kingdom

⁷ Division of Healthcare Delivery Science, Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States